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	<title>Money Hacks &#187; profit</title>
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		<title>Banks Are Not Dead &#8211; Yet</title>
		<link>http://money-hacks.com/736/banks-are-not-dead-yet/</link>
		<comments>http://money-hacks.com/736/banks-are-not-dead-yet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2009 16:13:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billspaced</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPMorgan Chase]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.money-hacks.com/?p=736</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[JPMC, aka Chase or JP Morgan, reported a better-than-expected profit today. Sounds good, right? While the company (also my employer) didn&#8217;t make as much as it did same quarter last year, it did earn a profit. That&#8217;s a glimmer of hope. However, upon further inspection, it becomes apparent that most of the profit came from [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JPMC, aka Chase or JP Morgan, reported a <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090416/ap_on_bi_ge/earns_jpmorgan_chase">better-than-expected profit</a> today. Sounds good, right? While the company (also my employer) didn&#8217;t make as much as it did same quarter last year, it did earn a profit. That&#8217;s a glimmer of hope. However, upon further inspection, it becomes apparent that most of the profit came from the bank&#8217;s investment bank division. Do the math:</p>
<blockquote><p>JPMorgan said Thursday it earned <strong>$2.14 billion</strong> for the January-March period, thanks to both strong trading activity and banking to average consumers.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Revenue from the fixed-income markets was a record $4.9 billion, and helped push the entire investment bank division to record revenue of $8.3 billion and a record profit of <strong>$1.6 billion</strong>.</p></blockquote>
<p>So, &#8220;banking operations&#8221; accounted for roughly <strong>$500 million</strong>. Not good, really, though it&#8217;s still on the plus side.</p>
<p>What does this mean? Banking deposits &#8211; more specifically, profits from regular bank customers &#8211; is not rising. Banking may not be dead, but it sure ain&#8217;t growing!</p>
<p>Essentially, JPMC owned bonds at say, 5 percent, and sold them for a profit as rates for newly-issued bonds declined (say, to 3 percent). This profit could turn on a dime when rates head back up, especially when you consider that the Fed has pumped in record money supply growth over the past year or so.</p>
<p>In fact, we may see US Treasury bonds in the 8-10 percent range within the next 3-5 years. I hope banks sell all those bonds they bought in the mid-2000s!</p>
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